PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
0.2% 37.9%+2.5ptLíder entre 7 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
205,9 €
Liquidez
4 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
5.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
11/09/26, 15:29 UTC15/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Argentina inflation rate MoM for September
KalshiPPI MoM in September
KalshiCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiCore CPI YoY - September 2026
PolymarketWill November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 3% in September 2026?
ForecastExRegras
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Kalshi — CPI core month-over-month in Sep 2026? · Exactly 0.3% 91%
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Core CPI MoM - September 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 0.2% em 38% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Core CPI MoM - September 2026 é resolvido?
- Core CPI MoM - September 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 15 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Core CPI MoM - September 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Onde mais Core CPI MoM - September 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.