Probabilidade implícita atual
0.9% to 1.0% 37%+8.5ptLíder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
59 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,5 mil €
Liquidez
2 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
9/09/26, 20:32 UTC14/10/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
China Annual Inflation 2026
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ForecastExRegras
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.
- This market will resolve according to the number the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased by during the 12-month period ending September 2026 (% change from the same month in the previous year) according to the monthly NBS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the NBS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for September 2026 (https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), currently scheduled to be released in October 2026.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
- You can find the relevant figure by locating the report for September 2026 on the Press Releases page (see: https://www.stats.gov.cn/english/PressRelease/), locating the table named "Consumer Price Index in September 2026", and finding the consumer price index figure in the column labeled "Growth Rate Y/Y (%)".
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
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- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
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KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
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- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de September Inflation China - Annual?
- A Polymarket cota 0.9% to 1.0% em 37% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando September Inflation China - Annual é resolvido?
- September Inflation China - Annual deverá ser resolvido em 14 de outubro de 2026.
- Como September Inflation China - Annual é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in China over a 12-month period ending September 2026 as reported by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) of China.