KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 3.3% 23%Líder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
215,1 €
Liquidez
1,9 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 4 minutos
15/12/25, 15:00 UTC14/10/26, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.0% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.1% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.2% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.3% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.4% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.5% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 702,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 89,3 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+7.0pt73%
- September Meeting+10.5pt64%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt79.2%
- No-5.0pt20.8%
- Volume total
- € 7,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 43,1 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 400,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 34,3 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.0pt44.3%
- 2 (50 bps)+7.0pt28.3%
- 0 (0 bps)-5.5pt17%
+3 mais resultados
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- CPI core in August
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- CPI core month-over-month in Aug 2026?
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 3.3% em 23% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? é resolvido?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de outubro de 2026.
- Como CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the CPI year-over-year is exactly 2.0% in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.