KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Exactly 4.0% 8%+6.0ptLíder entre 21 opções
Qualidade do mercado
62 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
6,8 mil €
Liquidez
7,3 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 8 minutos
17/09/26, 23:00 UTC13/01/27, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 3.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
InflationKALSHICPI core in September
- Above 0.0%98%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt88%
- Above 0.2%-3.0pt41%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 41,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,7 mil
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above 3.3%98%
- Above 3.2%98%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 299,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,5 mil
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 2 (50 bps)-2.0pt60%
- 3 (75 bps)+2.7pt21%
- 1 (25 bps)-2.0pt17%
+3 mais resultados
KALSHICPI in September
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+11 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 176,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 18,3 mil
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%+5.0pt38%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.3% or above-4.0pt37%
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: 0.1% or below-5.0pt6%
+9 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Hike–Pause–Hike-6.5pt35%
- Hike–Hike–Pause+3.0pt26.2%
- Hike–Hike–Hike+3.0pt22.3%
+6 mais resultados
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- September Inflation US - Annual
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026?
- A Kalshi cota Exactly 4.0% em 8% em 19 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 é resolvido?
- CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 13 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como CPI year-over-year in Dec 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the CPI year-over-year for Dec 2026 is exactly 2.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.