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  • Início
  • MercadosMercados de Previsão
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  1. Mercados de Previsão
  2. Fed
  3. Fed rate hike by...?
Fed rate hike by...?

Fed rate hike by...?

FedOne-Off4m
PolymarketPolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxa
Probabilidade implícita atual
October Meeting
October Meeting 43%+4.5%
Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado

56 / 100

Qualidade média
Volume 24h

3,2 €

Liquidez

71,4 mil €

Alta liquidez
Compra / Venda

0.8% / 0.9%

Spread

12.5%

Spread amplo
Variação 7d

-0.5%

Dados do mercado

Atualizado há 1 minuto

31/03/26, 21:3929/10/26, 0:00

Tendências

Resultado24hProbabilidade
April Meeting
April Meeting
0%

Resultado escolhido

October Meeting43%

KalshiTambém disponível em Kalshi

Next Fed rate hike?

Next Fed rate hike?

1.0%6m
Before 2027
Before 2027
-1.0%52%
Before July 2026
Before July 2026
2%
Before July 2027
Before July 2027
+3.0%70%

+1 mais resultados

60 • Qualidade médiaSpread moderadoLiquidez média
Volume total13,6 mil €
Volume 24h181,6 €
KalshiKALSHI

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Os dados de comparação são apenas informativos. Preços e liquidez podem variar.

Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro

BitcoinBTC$62,604.58+2.36%EthereumETH$1,650.76+1.70%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.42%

Mercados Relacionados

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

165,1 mil €
0 (0: 79%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

88,2 mil €
Sim: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?

Fed rate hike in 2026?

72,4 mil €
Sim: 52%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Fed decision in Jun 2026?

Fed decision in Jun 2026?

8,4 mil €
Fed maintains rate: 98%KalshiKALSHI
Fed decision in Jul 2026?

Fed decision in Jul 2026?

936,9 €
Cut 25bps: 3%KalshiKALSHI

Ativos nestes tópicos

DogecoinDOGE$0.085+1.77%BNBBNB$594.25+1.58%XRPXRP$1.12+0.22%CardanoADA$0.1665+3.28%HyperliquidHYPE$54.70-1.20%LitecoinLTC$42.71+0.83%

Notícias Relacionadas

Bitcoin traders brace for Federal Reserve decision as hold odds hit 98%Crypto NewsWall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsStrategy's bitcoin purchase fails to stir BTC priceCoindeskBitcoin braces for inflation shock as CPI puts bulls on edgeCrypto NewsThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsMay 2026 US Jobs Report: Upward Revisions Reshape Crypto Fed Rate Cut OutlookBlockchain Reporter

Regras

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.