PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
0.4% 29.7%Líder entre 9 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
63 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,1 mil €
Liquidez
9 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 7 minutos
11/09/26, 15:28 UTC15/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
September Inflation US - Annual
PolymarketSeptember Inflation China - Annual
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.8% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.4% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExWill the year-over-year change in the Canada Consumer Price Index exceed 2.6% in September 2026? (Inflation) (Consumer prices) (Cost of living)?
ForecastExBP Monthly Credit Card Spend in September
KalshiRegras
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
- This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
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- CPI in September
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Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de September Inflation US - Monthly?
- A Polymarket cota 0.4% em 30% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando September Inflation US - Monthly é resolvido?
- September Inflation US - Monthly deverá ser resolvido em 15 de outubro de 2026.
- Como September Inflation US - Monthly é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).