KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 0.0% 90%Líder entre 5 opções
Qualidade do mercado
25 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
206,3 €
Baixa liquidezSpread
11.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
6/11/25, 15:00 UTC25/11/26, 13:25 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
How much will core PCE increase in Aug 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
KalshiHow much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
KalshiCore PCE MoM - August 2026
PolymarketCore PCE YoY - August 2026
PolymarketWill the year-over-year change in the US Core PCE Price Index exceed 3.2% in August 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Bureau of Economic Analysis
- The market will close at 8:25 AM ET on the expected release of the data.
- It will expire at the sooner of the first 10:00 AM ET following the release of the data, or one week after the expected release of the data.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.1% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.2% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.3% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,3 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,6 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 554,4 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 33,8 mil
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Above 0.0% em 90% em 9 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? é resolvido?
- How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 25 de novembro de 2026.
- Como How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the (single-decimal) month-over-month percent change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index excluding food and energy is above 0.0% in October 2026 according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, then the market resolves to Yes.