KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
At least 4.5% 26%+0.8ptLíder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
56 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
4,2 mil €
Liquidez
197,9 mil €
Alta liquidezSpread
8.6 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 15 minutos
19/03/26, 16:0014/02/27, 13:29
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Regras
If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 5.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 6.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 7.0% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparacao de fontes de previsao
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- No change+1.0pt68.3%
- 25 bps increase-1.0pt30.7%
- 25 bps decrease+0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1 mi
KALSHIUS electricity price in August
- Above 19.2¢+3.0pt99%
- Above 19.4¢+2.0pt93%
- Above 19.6¢56%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 35,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes-1.0pt55.5%
- No+1.0pt44.5%
- Volume total
- € 6,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 11,5 mil
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause+3.0pt67%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Other-2.0pt32%
+6 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting41%
- September Meeting-1.0pt32%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 0 (0+4.0pt45.1%
- 1 (25-1.0pt38.2%
- 2 (50-0.5pt14.7%
+3 mais resultados
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How high will inflation get this year??
- A Kalshi cota At least 4.5% em 26% em 23 de agosto de 2026.
- Quando How high will inflation get this year? é resolvido?
- How high will inflation get this year? deverá ser resolvido em 14 de fevereiro de 2027.
- Como How high will inflation get this year? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If year-over-year CPI inflation is at least 4.5% in any month in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Onde mais How high will inflation get this year? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Polymarket.