Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atualNão 50.5%
Previsores
3
Tipo de pergunta
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 17 horas
Desatualizado26/06/26, 01:28 UTC10/12/26, 13:29 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Core inflation in November 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiWill September 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsWill August 2026 headline CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month?
Manifold MarketsJapan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
PolymarketCore inflation in September 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
KalshiRegras
This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 reports that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from October 2026 to November 2026.
- Resolve NO if the initial BLS release reports a seasonally adjusted all items less food and energy CPI-U month-over-month change of 0.2% or lower, including 0.0% or a decline.
- Use the official BLS CPI news release or its tables for November 2026 as the primary source, specifically the seasonally adjusted Table A row for all items less food and energy.
- Do not use headline/all-items CPI, year-over-year CPI, PCE, PPI, non-seasonally-adjusted monthly change, real earnings, or later annual revisions.
- If BLS corrects the initial November 2026 CPI release before this market is resolved, use the corrected BLS release.
- Scheduled source context: BLS calendar lists Consumer Price Index, November 2026, at 08:30 AM Eastern on December 10, 2026; the calendar note says all times are Eastern Time.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 89,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,7 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 541,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 30,7 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 334,2 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 12,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt53.9%
- September Meeting+1.0pt46.1%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.5pt51.4%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.3%
- 0.1%-1.5pt10.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 77,9 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 5,5 mil
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- August Inflation US - Annual
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- August 2026 CPI MoM Combo: Headline & Core
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month??
- A Manifold Markets cota No em 51% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? é resolvido?
- Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? deverá ser resolvido em 10 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como Will November 2026 core CPI-U rise at least 0.3% month-over-month? é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This market resolves YES if the initial BLS Consumer Price Index release for November 2026 reports that the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, rose at least 0.3% from October 2026 to November 2026.