PolymarketVerificar disponibilidadeSem KYC2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosBem calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
2.4% 34.7%+2.5ptLíder entre 10 opçõesAjustado pela margem: as cotações brutas somavam mais de 100% e foram normalizadas.
Qualidade do mercado
54 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
299,2 €
Liquidez
7,6 mil €
Liquidez médiaSpread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoComentários
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 9 minutos
11/09/26, 15:30 UTC15/10/26, 03:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) over the 12-month period ending in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
- The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
- Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
- Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%).
- Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 128,3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+1.0pt89%
- No-1.0pt11%
- Volume total
- € 8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 95,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt84%
- September Meeting+1.0pt80%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHISeptember 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
- Headline: 0.5% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%18%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.3% or above6%
- Headline: Exactly 0.4%, Core: 0.1% or below5%
+9 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 29 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 29 mil
POLYMARKETSouth Africa Annual Inflation 2026
- >5.0%+9.4pt28.2%
- 4.7-5.0%+12.5pt25.2%
- 4.4-4.7%+2.8pt23.3%
+7 mais resultados
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.2%+11.0pt99%
- Above 3.0%97%
- Above 3.3%96%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 40,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,1 mil
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- CPI in September
- September Inflation US - Annual
- Japan Core-Core CPI YoY in 2026
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- PPI YoY - September 2026
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- September Inflation China - Annual
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- CPI year-over-year in Sep 2026?
- What will JD Vance say during his remarks in Olathe?
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Core CPI YoY - September 2026?
- A Polymarket cota 2.4% em 35% em 14 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Core CPI YoY - September 2026 é resolvido?
- Core CPI YoY - September 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 15 de outubro de 2026.
- Como Core CPI YoY - September 2026 é liquidado?
- A Polymarket liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: This is a market about core inflation (excluding food and energy) over the 12-month period ending September 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Onde mais Core CPI YoY - September 2026 está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.