KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Above 4.7% 90%Líder entre 16 opções
Qualidade do mercado
36 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
1,4 mil €
Liquidez
1,4 mil €
Baixa liquidezSpread
49.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 25 minutos
10/09/26, 16:15 UTC15/10/26, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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KalshiWill the US experience a deflationary boom before 2030?
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Manifold MarketsWill the world economy grow by more than 30% in a single year before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Liquida via:Trading Economics
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 5.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt79.4%
- No change-16.0pt19.6%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 105,2 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8,5 mi
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+16.0pt86%
- September Meeting+19.0pt82%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+5.0pt87.1%
- No-5.0pt12.9%
- Volume total
- € 7,7 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 117 mil
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 mais resultados
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- 1 (25 bps)-5.5pt47.4%
- 2 (50 bps)31.6%
- 0 (0 bps)-9.0pt10.5%
+3 mais resultados
POLYMARKETFed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Pause–Pause–Pause-16.0pt18%
- Pause–Pause–Cut+0.1pt1%
- Cut–Pause–Pause-0.8pt0%
+6 mais resultados
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- How high will CPI get this year?
- Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Core PCE MoM - August 2026
- How high will inflation get this year?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de PPI YoY in September?
- A Kalshi cota Above 4.7% em 90% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando PPI YoY in September é resolvido?
- PPI YoY in September deverá ser resolvido em 15 de outubro de 2026.
- Como PPI YoY in September é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for September 2026 is above 4.7%, then the market resolves to Yes.