KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem atividade de negociação
Dados de 11 de set. de 2026, 14:30 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
At least 1730K 0%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
26 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
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Liquidez
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Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread amploDados do mercado
Atualizado há 6 minutos
10/09/26, 17:45 UTC17/09/26, 12:29 UTC
Tendências
0%
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0%
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0%
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Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4.6% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.3% in September 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
ForecastExFed Decision in September?
PolymarketUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill real US GDP per capita grow by at least 15% within a single year by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least
- 1730K, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment figure reported by the U.S. Department of Labor’s Employment and Training Administration in its Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report for the week ending Sep 5, 2026.
- The market will use the advance figure first published for the specified week.
- The following week's revision will not affect resolution.
- 1740K, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+17.0pt80.2%
- No change-16.0pt18.8%
- 50+ bps increase-0.3pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 104,6 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 8,2 mi
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs94%
- Above 452,500 jobs84%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 100,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 8,4 mil
KALSHIInflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%96%
- Above 3.3%+23.0pt88%
- Above 3.1%86%
+18 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 25,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,3 mil
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes-2.0pt4%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 6,3 mil
POLYMARKETBrazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- -0.3% to -0.1%+1.5pt33.7%
- 0.0% to 0.2%+3.0pt29.5%
- <-0.3%+2.4pt9.5%
+4 mais resultados
KALSHIGermany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.0% of GDP93%
- Above -4.5% of GDP84%
- Above -4.0% of GDP51%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 21,1 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 3,3 mil
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Japan’s government budget balance in 2026
- China Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Unemployment in September
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026?
- Canada GDP: July 2026 (MoM)
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- 2026: Trump's bad year?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026?
- A Kalshi cota At least 1730K em 0% em 11 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 é resolvido?
- Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 deverá ser resolvido em 17 de setembro de 2026.
- Como Continuing jobless claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the U.S. seasonally adjusted continuing unemployment insurance claims for the week ending Sep 5, 2026 is at least