KalshiVerificar disponibilidadeKYC obrigatório2% de taxaDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoProbabilidade implícita atual
Sim 72%
Qualidade do mercado
61 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
1,2 mil €
Liquidez
688,5 €
Baixa liquidezCompra / Venda
72.0% / 74.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Spread moderadoDados do mercado
Atualizado há 11 minutos
17/08/26, 22:00 UTC31/03/27, 15:29 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
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Manifold MarketsWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.2% in December 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.7% in December 2026?
ForecastExRegras
If the first non-preliminary Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 inclusive, is strictly below
Liquida via:Bureau of Labor Statistics
- 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Underlying is the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for Wyoming, expressed as a percentage of the civilian labor force and published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics through the Local Area Unemployment Statistics program.
Mercados abertos
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+12.0pt64.7%
- No change-12.0pt34.3%
- 50+ bps increase+0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 97,8 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,8 mi
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.0%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.7%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 702,5 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 91 mil
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above -0.2%+3.0pt99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 400 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHICPI core in August
- Above 0.0%99%
- Above 0.1%-1.0pt87%
- Above 0.2%-8.0pt26%
+8 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 34,5 mil
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP92%
- Above -5.0% of GDP79%
- Above -4.5% of GDP-5.0pt62%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 28,3 mil
- Volume 24h
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No97%
- Yes-3.0pt3%
- Volume total
- € 2,9 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,9 mil
- Core inflation in August 2026 (Core CPI YoY)
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- China unemployment rate in August
- US government budget balance in 2026
- Recession in 2027?
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 3.8% in October 2026? (Jobless) (Jobs) (Labor market) (Layoffs) (Economy)?
- More tech layoffs in 2026 than in 2025?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026??
- A Kalshi cota Yes em 72% em 10 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? é resolvido?
- Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 31 de março de 2027.
- Como Will Wyoming's unemployment rate remain below 3.5% in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Kalshi liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: If the first non-preliminary Wyoming's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for every month from July through December 2026 inclusive, is strictly below