Manifold MarketsSem KYCDados de resolução verificadosRazoavelmente calibradoPrevisão da comunidade atual>5.0% to 5.3% 43%Líder entre 5 opções
Previsores
11
Tipo de pergunta
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo de fonte
Previsão
Variação 7d
0.0 pts
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 18 horas
Desatualizado27/11/25, 09:21 UTC31/12/26, 23:59 UTC
Tendências
Ativos Sensíveis ao Macro
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Unemployment rate for new college grads increases in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich EU country will have the highest unemployment rate?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada have the highest unemployment rate since 2016 this year?
PolymarketUnemployment rate in Nov 2026?
KalshiUnemployment rate in Oct 2026?
KalshiWill the US unemployment rate hit more than 6% in any month of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegras
What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?
- Current Context:
- July-September 2025: 5.0% unemployment rate
- IFS baseline forecast: unemployment peaks at 5.1% in 2026
- Recent trend: unemployment has been rising since mid-2022
- Resolution Criteria: This market resolves to the unemployment rate (seasonally adjusted, ages 16+) published by the ONS for October-December 2026 in the Employment in the UK bulletin released in early 2027.
Mercados abertos
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-2.0pt46%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 90,1 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 1,4 mi
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 358,6 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 35,8 mil
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
+23 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 548,3 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 28,8 mil
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+3.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 mais resultados
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 79,8 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 7,6 mil
POLYMARKETCore CPI MoM - August 2026
- 0.2%-1.0pt51.9%
- 0.3%+4.5pt34.6%
- 0.1%-3.0pt9.6%
+4 mais resultados
- CPI core in August
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- August Inflation US - Annual
- CPI-U index in August
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
Criptos relacionadas
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS?
- A Manifold Markets cota >5.0% to 5.3% em 43% em 8 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS é resolvido?
- UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS deverá ser resolvido em 31 de dezembro de 2026.
- Como UK unemployment rate in Q4 2026 per ONS é liquidado?
- A Manifold Markets liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: What will the UK unemployment rate be in the final quarter of 2026 (October-December 2026) according to ONS Labour Force Survey data?