GeminiKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaAviso de qualidade dos dadosDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 13 de set. de 2026, 06:55 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Before January 01, 2027 12.5%Líder entre 11 opções
Qualidade do mercado
55 / 100
Qualidade médiaVolume 24h
2,2 mil €
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
8/04/26, 19:47 UTC2/01/27, 04:00 UTC
Tendências
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
KalshiWill traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal before January 1, 2027?
ForecastExWhich month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
PolymarketStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by ...
Manifold MarketsRegras
If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before contract date, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Outcome verified from IMF PortWatch.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 60 before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
- Também disponível em Polymarket — Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal? · No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 80%