GeminiKYC obrigatórioDados de resolução verificadosCalibração aproximadaAviso de qualidade dos dadosSem cotações ao vivoDados da fonte degradados
Dados de 13 de set. de 2026, 06:55 UTC · política pm-quality-3
Probabilidade implícita atual
Above 6% 4.5%Líder entre 6 opções
Qualidade do mercado
46 / 100
Baixa qualidadeVolume 24h
—
Liquidez
—
Liquidez desconhecidaSpread
1.0 pt
Spread apertadoTraders
0
Dados do mercado
Atualizado há 2 minutos
25/02/26, 03:35 UTC8/01/27, 13:30 UTC
Tendências
Mercados Relacionados
Perguntas relacionadas para dar contexto, não uma comparação de contratos equivalentes.
Regras
How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Otherwise, it resolves to No. Outcome verified from Bureau of Labor Statistics.
- Read the full contract [terms & conditions](https://cdn.builder.io/o/assets%2F1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba%2F88cf4719632f4bf989b4c8e284d69090?alt=media&token=9f4eae20-a249-48f8-904e-dce7733a7893&apiKey=1b77ce3a269a43e985e77f3d65f715ba).
- If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If any seasonally adjusted unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in an “Employment Situation Report” for a reference month in 2026 is above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Comparação de fontes de previsão
Mercados abertos
Economy
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+1.0pt78.4%
- No change20.6%
- 50+ bps increase-0.2pt1%
+2 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 120,5 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 4,7 mi
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume total
- € 3 mi
- Volume 24h
- € 10,4 mil
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -9.0% of GDP-6.0pt92%
- Above -8.5% of GDP-8.0pt85%
- Above -8.0% of GDP65%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 30,6 mil
KALSHIRecession in 2027?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Volume total
- € 345,7 mil
- Volume 24h
- € 6,6 mil
KALSHIUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Above -5.5% of GDP-2.0pt90%
- Above -5.0% of GDP+2.0pt83%
- Above -4.5% of GDP65%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 43,2 mil
KALSHIWisconsin manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 447,500 jobs96%
- Above 450,000 jobs+1.0pt95%
- Above 452,500 jobs+9.0pt93%
+4 mais resultados
- Volume total
- € 109,4 mil
- Government shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- Inflation in September 2026 (CPI YoY)
- CPI in September
- Unemployment in September
- US real GDP growth in 2026?
- GDP growth in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- Will the US Unemployment Rate exceed 4% in September 2026?
- Brazil GDP Growth in Q3 2026 (QoQ)?
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
Perguntas frequentes
- Quais são as probabilidades atuais de How high will unemployment get in 2026??
- A Gemini cota Above 6% em 5% em 13 de setembro de 2026.
- Quando How high will unemployment get in 2026? é resolvido?
- How high will unemployment get in 2026? deverá ser resolvido em 8 de janeiro de 2027.
- Como How high will unemployment get in 2026? é liquidado?
- A Gemini liquida este mercado da seguinte forma: How high will unemployment get in 2026?
- Onde mais How high will unemployment get in 2026? está listado?
- A mesma pergunta também está listada em Kalshi.