Adoptie

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.8 pt (24u)2mnd

Ja4%-0.8pt

Nee96%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (69)Strakke spreadHoge open interestDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 198,1K

24u volumeUS$ 10,3

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2mnd

Ja5%

Nee95%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Strakke spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 65,3K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

2mnd

Ja1%

Nee99%

Lage kwaliteit (33)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 21,6K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2mnd

Ja45%

Nee55%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Lage kwaliteit (30)Spread onbekendLiquiditeit onbekendDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 9,9K

24u volume—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

1mnd

Ja8%

Nee92%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Lage kwaliteit (30)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 391,2

24u volume—

FUTUUR

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

2mnd

Ja9%

Nee91%

Lage kwaliteit (32)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 154,1

24u volume—

FUTUUR

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

2mnd

Ja4%

Nee96%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

CoinRithm-referentieNee97%· 2 pt spreiding tussen venues

Lage kwaliteit (32)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 25

24u volume—

FUTUUR

Will this market reach 100 unique traders by October 26, 2026?

11min

Ja7.8%

Nee92.2%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling51 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

5d

Ja64%

Nee36%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling11 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

3j

Ja50.1%

Nee49.9%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling15 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

4j

Ja11.3%

Nee88.7%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling9 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

2j

Ja47.9%

Nee52.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling3 voorspellersType: binary

14 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

3j

Ja65.5%

Nee34.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling22 voorspellersType: binary

4 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Before 204766.2%

Before 204459%

Before 203250%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling2 voorspellersType: multiple choice

13 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

1j

Ja27.9%

Nee72.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling14 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

3j

Ja8.5%

Nee91.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling9 voorspellersType: binary

15 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How long will my career be?

2036-204513%

2046-205513%

2056-206513%

+5 extra uitkomsten

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling1 voorspellersType: multiple choice

10 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

2042-204719.6%

2048-205319.6%

2054-206019.6%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling2 voorspellersType: multiple choice

14 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

4j

Ja52%

Nee48%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling326 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

3j

2030 or later62.8%

202956.9%

202851.5%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling4 voorspellersType: multiple choice

15 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

2mnd

Ja52.5%

Nee47.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling3 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

3j

Ja10.1%

Nee89.9%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling3 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

3j

Ja20.7%

Nee79.3%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling4 voorspellersType: binary

9 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

9j

Ja47.5%

Nee52.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling4 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

4j

Ja57.1%

Nee42.9%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling5 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

4j

Ja33.2%

Nee66.8%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling4 voorspellersType: binary

4 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

1j

Ja45.2%

Nee54.8%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling5 voorspellersType: binary

16 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

4j

Ja55%

Nee45%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling6 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

1j

Ja7.5%

Nee92.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling6 voorspellersType: binary

11 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

2j

Ja25%

Nee75%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling7 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

4j

Ja85.5%

Nee14.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling8 voorspellersType: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

8j

Ja59.9%

Nee40.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling8 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

4j

Ja15.3%

Nee84.7%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling8 voorspellersType: binary

9 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

2j

Ja31%

Nee69%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling8 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

2mnd

Ja49.2%

Nee50.8%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling9 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

3j

Ja57.3%

Nee42.7%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling9 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

4j

Ja79%

Nee21%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling9 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

4j

Ja38.3%

Nee61.7%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling10 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

1j

Ja41.4%

Nee58.6%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling10 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

8j

Ja18.7%

Nee81.3%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling11 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

2mnd

Ja3.8%

Nee96.2%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling12 voorspellersType: binary

17 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

2mnd

Ja9.9%

Nee90.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling12 voorspellersType: binary

15 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

3j

Ja59.9%

Nee40.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

13j

Ja82%

Nee18%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling14 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2mnd

Suriname22.9%

Kazakhstan14%

Cabo Verde10.9%

+26 extra uitkomsten

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling64 voorspellersType: multiple choice

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

4j

Ja88.8%

Nee11.2%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling14 voorspellersType: binary

9 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

2mnd

Ja17.9%

Nee82.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling17 voorspellersType: binary

3 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

13j

Ja5.4%

Nee94.6%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling16 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Gerelateerde Crypto-assets

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Will this market reach 100 unique traders by October 26, 2026?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

How long will my career be?

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

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