Adoption

Finance AI adoption in September

1mnd

Above 73%

88%

Above 73.25%

Above 73.5%

+6 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (29)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 200

24u volumeUS$ 200

KALSHI

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

3.0 pt (24u)3mnd

Nee

91%

+3.0pt9%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (64)Gematigde spreadHoge liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 185,6K

24u volumeUS$ 13

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

3mnd

Nee

94.1%

5.9%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

CoinRithm-referentieNee94%· 5 pt spreiding tussen venues

Gemiddelde kwaliteit (60)Gematigde spreadGemiddelde liquiditeitDicht bij afwikkeling

Totaal volumeUS$ 61K

24u volumeUS$ 1,3

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

3mnd

Nee

98%

Lage kwaliteit (≤49)Gematigde spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 21K

24u volume—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

3mnd

Nee

89.2%

10.8%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

CoinRithm-referentieNee94%· 5 pt spreiding tussen venues

Lage kwaliteit (30)Spread onbekendLiquiditeit onbekendDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 8,3K

24u volume—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

3mnd

Nee

89%

11%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Lage kwaliteit (30)Spread onbekendLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 386,8

24u volume—

FUTUUR

Healthcare AI adoption in September

1mnd

Above 43%

87%

Above 43.5%

Above 43.75%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (25)Brede spreadLage liquiditeitDunne markt

Totaal volumeUS$ 50

24u volumeUS$ 50

KALSHI

Above 56%

Above 56.2%

Above 56.4%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Lage kwaliteit (24)Brede spreadLiquiditeit onbekendDunne markt

Totaal volume—

24u volume—

KALSHI

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

before the end of 2030

65%

before the end of 2029

58.9%

before the end of 2028

58%

+4 extra uitkomsten

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling14 voorspellersType: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?

20d

Nee

84.6%

15.4%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling17 voorspellersType: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Nee

72.3%

27.7%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling30 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?

14j

Nee

84.2%

15.8%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling32 voorspellersType: binary

6 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

52%

Nee

48%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling23 voorspellersType: binary

5 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

57.9%

Nee

42.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling24 voorspellersType: binary

5 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?

Nee

88.9%

11.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling20 voorspellersType: binary

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?

Nee

85.9%

14.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: binary

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Nee

61.1%

38.9%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling6 voorspellersType: binary

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

3mnd

81%

Nee

19%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling1 voorspellersType: binary

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nee

97.2%

2.8%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling18 voorspellersType: binary

8 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

53.7%

Nee

46.3%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling21 voorspellersType: binary

9 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028

Nee

80%

20%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling33 voorspellersType: binary

10 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

6mnd

Nee

75%

25%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling5 voorspellersType: binary

12 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

50%

Nee

50%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling4 voorspellersType: binary

12 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?

53.6%

Nee

46.4%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling3 voorspellersType: binary

12 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

59.9%

Nee

40.1%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling3 voorspellersType: binary

12 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

55%

Nee

45%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling10 voorspellersType: binary

14 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Nee

89.5%

10.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling50 voorspellersType: binary

16 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?

Nee

96.4%

3.6%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling27 voorspellersType: binary

17 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

13j

Nee

79.1%

20.9%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling10 voorspellersType: binary

17 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Nee

73.2%

26.8%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling72 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Nee

80%

20%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: binary

14 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Nee

69.5%

30.5%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling17 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nee

83%

17%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling18 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

3mnd

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

91.3%

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

81.4%

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

46.9%

+3 extra uitkomsten

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling13 voorspellersType: multiple choice

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Nee

51.7%

48.3%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling74 voorspellersType: binary

1 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

3mnd

Suriname

29.2%

Argentina

9.7%

Qatar

7.1%

+10 extra uitkomsten

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling15 voorspellersType: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?

57.6%

Nee

42.4%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling3 voorspellersType: binary

2 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

1mnd

65.3%

Nee

34.7%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling10 voorspellersType: binary

12 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Nee

52.8%

47.2%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling324 voorspellersType: binary

5 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Nee

72.4%

27.6%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling6 voorspellersType: binary

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?

3mnd

78%

Nee

22%

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling10 voorspellersType: binary

8 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nee

57.6%

42.4%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling39 voorspellersType: binary

7 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nee

54.9%

45.1%

Gerelateerde crypto's

BTC

Gemeenschapsvoorspelling33 voorspellersType: binary

17 uur geleden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Gerelateerde Crypto-assets

Finance AI adoption in September

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Healthcare AI adoption in September

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

xAI corporate adoption rate in September

Hospitality AI adoption in September

Tech sector AI adoption in September

Manufacturing AI adoption in September

Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?

Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?