Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 65.3%
Voorspellers
10
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 12 uur geleden
Verouderd26 jun 26, 18:16 UTC30 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?
Manifold MarketsWhich year will legal action first be taken against Manifold Markets by any governmental entity ?
Manifold MarketsWill Manifold Markets (or its web host) partner with Project Glasswing to bolster its own cybersecurity by EOY2026?
Manifold MarketsTech sector AI adoption in September
KalshiWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiFinance AI adoption in September
KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, between June 26, 2026, and October 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM PT, I successfully convince an individual whom I know or met in person (IRL) to create a Manifold Markets account and follow my profile.
- To resolve YES, the following conditions must be met:
- The individual must be someone I have interacted with in person (not an online-only contact).
- They must register a new Manifold Markets account and follow my profile during the specified timeframe.
- I will post the username of the referred user in the market comments to provide verification.
Open markten
AdoptionKALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+5.3pt9%
- Totaal volume
- € 159,8K
- 24u volume
- € 350,7
KALSHIFinance AI adoption in September
- Above 73%88%
- Above 73.25%0%
- Above 73.5%0%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 172,1
- 24u volume
- € 172,1
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,1K
- 24u volume
- € 47,3
KALSHIHealthcare AI adoption in September
- Above 43%87%
- Above 43.5%0%
- Above 43.75%0%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 43
- 24u volume
- € 43
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 52,5K
- 24u volume
- € 1,1
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?
- No84.6%
- Yes15.4%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5K
- 24u volume
- —
- Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
- xAI corporate adoption rate in September
- Tech sector AI adoption in September
- Hospitality AI adoption in September
- Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September
- Manufacturing AI adoption in September
- Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?
- US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
- Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
- Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 65% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? afgewikkeld?
- Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? wordt naar verwachting op 30 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria