Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Nee 52.8%
Voorspellers
324
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 uur geleden
Verouderd21 apr 23, 20:36 UTC31 dec 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill 50%+ of new cars sold in USA be Electric Cars by the end of 2030?
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KalshiRegels
This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.
- The source for determining the percentage of electric cars sold will be the International Energy Agency (IEA) annual report on electric vehicles.
- The report will be released in 2031 and will provide data on the percentage of electric cars sold in 2030.
- This question does not include hybrid cars, only fully electric cars.
- The question does not consider any potential changes in regulations or government policies that may affect the sales of electric cars.
- This question does not consider any potential changes in consumer behavior or technology development that may affect the sales of electric cars.
Open markten
AdoptionKALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 159,4K
- 24u volume
- € 130,2
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Totaal volume
- € 52,5K
- 24u volume
- € 56,7
KALSHIRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
- Above 59%65%
- Above 57%25.8%
- Above 58%9.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,3
- 24u volume
- € 3,3
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 18,1K
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
- Yes55%
- No45%
- Totaal volume
- € 479,6
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
- No89.5%
- Yes10.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9K
- 24u volume
- —
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 53% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2030 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.