Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor What year will the majority of new cars sold in Europe be "battery electric" (BEV)??

Manifold Markets prijst 2030 or later op 95.6% per 24 oktober 2026.

What year will the majority of new cars sold in Europe be "battery electric" (BEV)?

EuropaOne-Off4j

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Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 18:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4

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2030 or later 95.6%

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30 aug 22, 20:43 UTC31 dec 30, 22:59 UTC

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This resolves according to the number published by ACEA, like this one: https://www.acea.auto/figure/fuel-types-of-new-passenger-cars-in-eu/

In 2021 the number for BEV was 9.1%, up from 1% in 2018, 1.9% in 2019 and 5.4% in 2020.
The EU have decided to ban the sale of new fossil fueled cars from 2035 so presumably that will be the last possible year this can resolve to, but considering how fast BEVs have risen it may well be a majority much earlier.
UPDATE: The number for 2022 was 12.1%
The number for 2023 was 14.6%
The number for 2024 was 13.6%