Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 53.7%
Voorspellers
21
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 uur geleden
Verouderd20 nov 25, 09:43 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 470 GWdc before January 1st 2030.
- For the purposes of this market:
- “Cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity” means the total nameplate direct‑current (DC) capacity of all grid‑connected solar photovoltaic systems in the United States (utility‑scale, community, commercial, and residential), as of the end of calendar year 2029.
- The primary reference for resolution should be the cumulative capacity figures in SEIA/Wood Mackenzie’s “US Solar Market Insight” (YIR or Q4 report).
- If that report clearly states that year‑end 2029 U.S. solar capacity was ≥ 470 GWdc, the market resolves YES.
- If it clearly states it was < 470 GWdc, the market resolves NO.
Open markten
Adoption
KALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Totaal volume
- € 159,4K
- 24u volume
- € 130,1
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Totaal volume
- € 52,5K
- 24u volume
- € 56,6
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 18K
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSLinux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
- Yes57.9%
- No42.1%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,4K
- 24u volume
- —
KALSHIRamp AI Index adoption rate in August
- Above 59%65%
- Above 57%25.8%
- Above 58%9.3%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 21,3
- 24u volume
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
- No88.9%
- Yes11.1%
- Totaal volume
- € 645,1
- 24u volume
- —
- Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?
- Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?
- Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
- Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028
- What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?
- Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
- Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
- Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?
- Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?
- Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 54% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030? afgewikkeld?
- US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 470 GWdc before January 1st 2030.