Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspelling
Ja 75.8%
Voorspellers
8
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd22 nov 25, 08:34 UTC31 dec 34, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
US solar capacity installed in 2026
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KalshiRegels
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 710 GWdc before January 1st 2036.
- For the purposes of this market:
- “Cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity” means the total nameplate direct‑current (DC) capacity of all grid‑connected solar photovoltaic systems in the United States (utility‑scale, community, commercial & industrial, and residential) that are in service and counted as installed as of the end of calendar year 2035.
- The primary reference for resolution should be the cumulative capacity figures in SEIA / Wood Mackenzie’s U.S. Solar Market Insight (2035 Year‑in‑Review or Q4 report).
- If that report clearly states that year‑end 2035 U.S. solar PV capacity was ≥ 710 GWdc, this market resolves YES.
- If it clearly states that year‑end 2035 U.S. solar PV capacity was < 710 GWdc, this market resolves NO.
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 125,7K
- 24u volume
- € 47,4K
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 17,4K
- 24u volume
- € 17,4K
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 16K
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US solar capacity triples over 2025-2035??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 76% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US solar capacity triples over 2025-2035? afgewikkeld?
- US solar capacity triples over 2025-2035? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2034 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US solar capacity triples over 2025-2035? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 710 GWdc before January 1st 2036.