Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030??

Manifold Markets prijst No op 55.2% per 8 oktober 2026.

Wanneer wordt US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030? afgewikkeld?

US solar capacity reaches 500 GWdc before 2030? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2029 afgewikkeld.

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Nee 55.2%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Bijgewerkt 8 uur geleden

Verouderd

21 nov 25, 13:10 UTC31 dec 29, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Regels

Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity reached at least 500 GWdc before January 1st 2030.

For the purposes of this market:
“Cumulative installed U.S. solar PV capacity” refers to the total nameplate direct‑current (DC) capacity of all grid‑connected solar photovoltaic systems in the United States (utility‑scale, community, commercial, and residential) that are in service and counted as installed by the end of calendar year 2029.
The primary reference for resolution should be the cumulative capacity figures in SEIA / Wood Mackenzie’s US Solar Market Insight (Year‑in‑Review or Q4 report).
If that report clearly states that year‑end 2029 U.S. solar PV capacity was ≥ 500 GWdc, this market resolves YES.
If it clearly states it was < 500 GWdc, this market resolves NO.