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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by...?

0.1% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine18g
PolymarketPolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
December 31
December 31 16%-2.0%
In testa tra 6 esiti
Qualita del mercato

73 / 100

Qualità media
Volume 24h

81,8K €

Liquidità

24,8K €

Alta liquidità
Bid / Ask

1.2% / 1.4%

Spread

16.7%

Spread ampio
Variazione 7g

-0.6%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

4 nov 25, 15:5430 giu 26, 0:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
November 30
November 30
0%
December 31
December 31
0%
March 31
March 31
0%
January 31
January 31
0%

Esito scelto

December 3116%

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.

Mercati Correlati

US x Russia military clash by...?

US x Russia military clash by...?

48,8K €
December 31,: 5%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

47,9K €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

36,4K €
Sì: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

447 €
Sì: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
Sì: 19%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,623.61+2.20%EthereumETH$1,650.13+1.53%SolanaSOL$65.10+1.55%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.61%XRPXRP$1.12+0.32%BNBBNB$594.92+1.62%

Notizie Correlate

Russia election odds hold with United Russia leading at ~54.5%Blockchain.NewsUkraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.NewsRussia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.NewsRussia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraphRussia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto NewsRussia sanctions British teenager for alleging A7A5 use in funding Ukraine warCoindesk

Regole

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kupiansk by November 30, 2025, at 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kupiansk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • The territory of the municipality is shaded in light grey and is distinguished from bordering municipalities such as "Moskovka" with a darker grey line.
  • If all area within the municipality is shaded in red, but the shading does not precisely match up with the border, such that there is a tiny amount of grey along the border of the city, this will still qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • For the purpose of this market, areas separated from the main municipality through a darker grey line, such as in the southeast of Kupiansk (https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/h-b99a52275d.png), will not count towards the municipality.