PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 30%+0.5pt
Qualita del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
15,6K €
Liquidità
12,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
5.2% / 6.0%
Spread
0.8 pt
Spread strettoComments
1
Variazione 7g
+0.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
28 mag 26, 19:411 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station (49.712076° N, 37.606819° E) located on Pryvokzalna vulytsia, in Kupiansk, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 30% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date??
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the Kup'yans'k-Pivdennyi railroad station (49.712076° N, 37.606819° E) located on Pryvokzalna vulytsia, in Kupiansk, Kharkiv Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.