PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 99%+1.1pt
Qualità del mercato
70 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
284 €
Liquidità
7,7K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.0% / 1.4%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-5.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
24 lug 26, 16:00 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by which date?
PolymarketTrump tries to serve a third term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his October press conference?
KalshiTrump publicly insults Warsh by which date?
PolymarketKevin Warsh out as Fed chair?
KalshiWarsh out as Fed Chair by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Warsh must step down or lower rates”), statements of intent (e.g. “I am planning to fire Warsh”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
- If Kevin Warsh resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
- Attempts to remove Warsh from his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify.
- The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 94,3K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,8K €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume totale
- 61,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,6K €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Polymarket quota No al 99% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Kevin Warsh as Chair of the Federal Reserve, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.