Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91%
Previsori
430
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
31 mar 25, 23:44 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump tries to fire Warsh in 2026?
PolymarketWill Donald Trump either serve a third term or run for U.S. President in an election held after 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump participate in an election for a third term?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill or proposal be brought to a vote, that would allow President Trump to run for a third term?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump were elected in 2024, will Trump attempt to run for a third term in 2028 or 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump run for a third term?
KalshiRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if Donald Trump makes a formal attempt to serve a third term as President of the United States after having already served two terms.
- This includes but is the not limited to:
- Filing paperwork with the Federal Election Commission to run for a third term
- Pursuing legal challenges to the 22nd Amendment
- Attempting to assume the presidency through other means (such as becoming Vice President and then assuming the presidency)