PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 40%In testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
44 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,6 €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
1
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 minuti fa
17 set 26, 15:56 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe.
- Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available.
- Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported.
- Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 94,3K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,8K €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume totale
- 61,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,6K €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date??
- Polymarket quota December 31 al 40% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date??
- Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Trump publicly insults Warsh by which date??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults Kevin Warsh between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.