PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa
Probabilità implicita attuale
Up 76.2%
Qualita del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualità
Volume 24h
0 €
Liquidità
3,3K €
Liquidità media
Bid / Ask
67.0% / 86.0%
Spread
19.0 pt
Spread ampio
Variazione 7g
-3.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 21 minuti fa
20 mar 26, 18:4528 feb 27, 0:00
Trend
Esito24hProbabilità
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Up77%
Regole
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).
Regole
This market will resolve to "Up" if, according to Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2026 than in 2025 (447,000 layoffs).
This market will resolve to "Down" if there are more layoffs in the information sector in 2025 than in 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if the totals are the same in 2025 and 2026.
If not all relevant data points are published by June 30, 2027, ET, data published up until this point will be used to determine the 2026 total.
Revisions to previous data points after all relevant data points have been released will not be considered.
This market's resolution source will be the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), specifically the monthly 'Layoffs and Discharges: Information' within the Job Openings and Labor Turnover (Not Seasonally Adjusted) (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/JTU5100LDL).