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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Economia
  3. More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?
More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

More white-collar layoffs in 20​26 than in 2025?

5.0% (24h)EconomiaYearlyBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy8m
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 70%-5.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidità

105,4 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

70.0% / 75.0%

Spread

7.1%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 minuti fa

31 mar 26, 14:001 mar 27, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes70%

Regole

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."

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How many companies will go bankrupt this year?

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Above -25,000: 85%KalshiKALSHI
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US personal saving rate below 2% in 2026?

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Sì: 70%KalshiKALSHI
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Regole

If the total number of layoffs and discharges in the Professional and Business Services sector during calendar year 2026 is greater than 5,497,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • This market will use FRED series JTU540099LDL, “Layoffs and Discharges: Total Nonfarm: Professional and Business Services, Level in Thousands, Monthly, Not Seasonally Adjusted."