PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
December 31 27%-5.5ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
Qualità del mercato
56 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
810 €
Liquidità
9,6K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-4.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
26 lug 26, 22:32 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NATO article 5 before 2027?
PolymarketWill NATO article 5 be instigated before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhat is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
Manifold MarketsWill Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
NATO's Article 4 allows any member to call for consultations with allies if it believes its territorial integrity, political independence, or security to be threatened.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any NATO member invokes Article 4 of the North Atlantic Treaty between market creation and the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- Article 4 is considered invoked as soon as a member formally requests consultations with NATO allies under Article 4, regardless of whether the request is later revoked.
- For example, Poland's request for consultations on September 10, 2025, or Estonia's request on September 24, 2025 would each qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
- If a member state only expresses intent to or is considering invoking Article 4, that alone does not suffice for a "Yes" resolution.