PolymarketVerifica disponibilitàSenza KYC2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 94.1%+1.6pt
Qualità del mercato
80 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
8,7K €
Liquidità
37,5K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
5.3% / 5.7%
Spread
0.4 pt
Spread strettoCommenti
0
Variazione 7g
-2.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
5 nov 25, 18:48 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will NATO article 5 be instigated before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketWhat is the next country to invoke NATO Article 5?
Manifold MarketsWill Article 7 of the EU be employed against Hungary before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegole
If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO (nato.int), however a consensus of credible media will also suffice.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+0.5pt73%
- September 18+1.0pt69%
- September 11+5.5pt66%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 558,1K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.5pt75%
- New People (NL)-1.6pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+1.4pt50%
- October 3128.8%
- September 30-1.0pt11.9%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHIUS-Iran nuclear deal?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-4.0pt30%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-4.0pt22%
- Before Feb 1, 2027+1.0pt10%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- December 3110%
- November 30-1.5pt5%
- October 31-1.2pt3%
+6 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
- Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NATO article 5 before 2027??
- Polymarket quota No al 94% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve NATO article 5 before 2027??
- NATO article 5 before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato NATO article 5 before 2027??
- Polymarket liquida questo mercato come segue: If any NATO member country invokes Article 5 of the North Atlantic Treaty at any time between November 5, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".