Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 94.6%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto15 gen 24, 11:28 UTC1 gen 27, 22:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NATO article 5 before 2027?
PolymarketAnother NATO article 4 by which date?
PolymarketWill NATO article 5 be instigated before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMacron activates article 16 of the French constitution (exceptional powers) before April 2027
Manifold MarketsWill the fundamental law of Hungary define a human being as either male or female on April 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the position of Prime Minister of Hungary have a term limit before April 2030?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Article 7 allows the Council of the EU to revoke membership rights of membership countries, without reducing their membership obligations.
- There is currently talk to invoke this against Hungary, which is using the unanimity requirement of the Council to extract benefits from the EU.
- Article 7 requires:
- 80% of membership states (the 'target country' doesn't get a vote), i.e. 21/26
- Simple majority in the European Parliament
- https://eur-lex.europa.eu/EN/legal-content/glossary/suspension-clause-article-7-of-the-treaty-on-european-union.html
