Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 98%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto1 mar 26, 19:12 UTC31 dic 26, 22:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if a military conflict meeting the definition of World War 3 begins on or after November 19, 2026, the release date of GTA VI.
- Resolution is based on whether major powers (typically defined as permanent UN Security Council members or NATO members) engage in direct military conflict.
- The market resolves NO if no such conflict occurs by a specified end date.
- Resolution sources may include official government statements, major news outlets (Reuters, AP, BBC), UN declarations, or NATO announcements.
- GTA VI is scheduled to release on November 19, 2026, after delays that extended the development timeline.