Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)
GeopoliticaOne-OffRussia / UkraineManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.1%
Previsori
265
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mag 22, 12:55 UTC24 dic 53, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Ukraine accept a peace deal that cedes contested land in Donetsk and/or Luhansk?
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FutuurRegole
This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.
- Sep 29, 9:44pm: added capitulation clause.
- Oct 1, 12:37pm: A temporary ceasefire that lasts over a year without casualties, while Russia still occupies the territories in question will resolve market to YES.
- Close date updated to 2025-12-23 11:59 pm
- Close date updated to 2053-12-23 11:59 pm
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 66% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)?
- Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk) dovrebbe risolversi il 24 dicembre 2053.
- Come viene liquidato Will Ukrainian government accept a peace deal that includes the loss of contested lands in the east (Donetsk and/or Lugansk)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market is resolved when a permanent peace treaty is signed between Ukrainian and Russian governments, or the total capitulation of either side.