Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 57.5%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 19 ore fa
Obsoleto10 lug 23, 03:56 UTC31 dic 00, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a gay couple give birth to an equally-genetically-related child before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Fanzor be used to genetically edit the cells of *any human* by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketAI solves Millennium Prize Problem in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegole
In a literal sense
Mercati aperti
ScienceKALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+11.2pt86%
- Before 2030+6.0pt82%
- Before 2029-33.9pt55%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 227,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 95,3K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 202813%
- Before 2027+0.4pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 28,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 30-0.1pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Before 2035+11.0pt56%
- Before 203248%
- Before 2030-19.0pt44%
+1 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,1K €
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+0.6pt4%
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 8K €
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+3.0pt46.1%
- Above 1+20.0pt38.5%
- Above 2-6.0pt7.7%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- When will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- Major volcano eruption in 2026?
- Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?
- Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 58% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100??
- Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2100.
- Come viene liquidato Will there be genetically engineered catgirls by 2100??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In a literal sense