Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
InflationOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & CorporateTecnologiaIA4aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 50.8%
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223
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
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Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
2 feb 24, 14:06 UTC2 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a single-person funded, owned and operated unicorn before 2050?
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PolymarketRegole
To prevent private market shenanigans it will have to be 2 $1bn+ valuation rounds in series, or an acquisition, IPO or direct listing at $1bn+.
- For public markets valuations I will take the valuation at the close of the trading day.
- EDIT - 2025/08/28
- The $1bn amount will be adjusted for inflation using CPI index for year end 2023 as the base year.
- My discretion will be used to adjudicate how contractor use applies to the “one person” criteria.
- I will not bet in this market.
