Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80.3%
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto12 feb 26, 18:31 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a unicorn founded and operated by just one person by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a startup with zero human employees in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill half of the S&P 500 enforce wide adoption of AI tools by employees by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsFederal employees at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Inspired by https://manifold.markets/Putcallparity/will-there-be-a-unicorn-founded-and
- Note that human board members, founders (if not employed or involved in operations), or investors are still allowed for a 'YES' resolution here.
- But no humans can be employed by the company.
- The focus in resolving this will not be on fine legal distinctions between 'contractor' and 'employee', but on the involvement of human labor in the day to day operations of the company.
- If the full time involvement of human contractors is required, or if an unpaid human founder is involved in operations on a daily basis in order to increase the value of their equity, this would resolve as 'NO'.
