Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2,500,000 - 2,600,000 29.8%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto17 dic 25, 18:10 UTC31 dic 26, 18:04 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
