Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2,700,000 - 2,800,000 29.4%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto17 dic 25, 18:10 UTC31 dic 26, 18:04 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Trump cut >100,000 federal employees in 2026
Manifold MarketsBillionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
PolymarketUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketWill the federal gas tax be suspended?
KalshiUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Venezuelans be better off at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).
- Context: As of November 2025, FRED lists 2,744,000 employees.
- If the reported figure is exactly between two buckets, it resolves to the higher bucket.
- I've included a reasonable range of buckets + "Other"—I can expand with other buckets if they seem relevant.
Mercati aperti
Macro & EconomyKALSHIVisitors to Florida in 2026
- Above 136 million+1.0pt98%
- Above 138 million-2.0pt94%
- Above 140 million+3.0pt80%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 125,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 47,4K €
KALSHIConnecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
- Above 3,500 units-1.0pt88%
- Above 4,000 units-4.0pt66%
- Above 4,500 units-18.0pt30%
+5 altri esiti
KALSHIPennsylvania gas prices tomorrow
- Above 4.260099%
- Above 4.265099%
- Above 4.270099%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 17,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 17,4K €
KALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No93%
- Yes-2.0pt7%
- Volume totale
- 2,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 16K €
KALSHIPort of New York and New Jersey container volume in 2026
- Above 8.4 million TEUs95%
- Above 8.6 million TEUs+4.0pt85%
- Above 8.7 million TEUs+3.0pt73%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
- Above 1,700 units-4.0pt82%
- Above 1,600 units-11.0pt80%
- Above 1,800 units-5.0pt68%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Czech National Bank rate decision in September
- How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
- Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 5, 2026
- Charlottetown, PEI Mayoral Election Winner
- How high will the S&P get this year?
- Alaska Permanent Fund Dividend amount in 2027
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Federal employees at EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota 2,700,000 - 2,800,000 al 29% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Federal employees at EOY 2026??
- Federal employees at EOY 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Federal employees at EOY 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution: Resolves according to the number listed in FRED (CES9091000001) for December 2026 (Seasonally Adjusted).