Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 95.8%
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15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 47 minuti fa
In ritardo9 dic 25, 05:22 UTC28 feb 27, 23:59 UTC
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Federal employees at EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many government employees will Trump cut?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes this year?
KalshiHow much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?
KalshiWill Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump cut the China trade gap below $150B in 2026?
KalshiRegole
2025 saw unprecedented impacts to the federal workforce.
- Will 2026 bring similar results?
- I will subtract the January 2026 reading of federal employee count from the January 2027 reading using the FRED federal employee counts given here:
- https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/CES9091000001
- If the difference exceeds 100,000 the answer resolves yes, and no otherwise.