OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)
InflationIAOne-OffCorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate6aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo14 mar 26, 08:36 UTC31 dic 32, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
OpenAI fails financially before Dec 31 2032.
- Settlement criteria: if one or more of the following happens before the deadline, the claim resolves to YES.
- (1) Acquisition for severe discount.
- OpenAI is purchased by another firm for a valuation that is less than half of its 2025 valuation (US$500 billion 2025 dollars.) (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/10/02/openai-share-sale-500-billion-valuation.html) Purchase price will be inflation adjusted to compare with the 2025 valuation.
- (2) OpenAI cannot pay its bills and fails to provide services.
- OpenAI becomes like pets.com in the early 2000s.
Mercati aperti
InflationPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt53.5%
- No change-1.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 90,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 358,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 35,6K €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 3.1%+2.0pt99%
- Above 2.9%99%
- Above 2.5%99%
+23 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 554,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,8K €
POLYMARKETAugust Inflation China - Annual
- 0.7% - 0.8%+56.5pt100%
- ≤0.2%-0.5pt0%
- 0.3% - 0.4%-7.3pt0%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+2.0pt54.2%
- September Meeting+2.0pt45.8%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHINYC median asking rent in December 2026
- Above $3,80095%
- Above $3,90081%
- Above $4,00044%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 79,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,6K €
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- CPI core in August
- CPI year-over-year in Aug 2026?
- CPI in September
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- CPI-U index in August
- August Inflation US - Annual
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- How high will inflation get in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)?
- OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria) dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2032.
- Come viene liquidato OpenAI Goes Broke before 2033 (See criteria)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: OpenAI fails financially before Dec 31 2032.