Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 80%
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto27 apr 26, 03:40 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will be found in the Big Void in the Great Pyramid of Giza?
Manifold MarketsWill the Great Pyramid of Giza still be standing in 4,500 years?
Manifold MarketsWill "the void" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
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PolymarketWill LSST Supernovae Ia survey find evidence of a local void with |δ|>20% at z<0.1 by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, inclusive, a team of researchers or explorers publicly announces that they have successfully entered, deployed exploratory equipment into, or physically accessed the space known as the "Big Void" within the Great Pyramid of Giza.
- Access is defined as either human entry or the successful insertion of a probe, camera, or sensor package into the interior of the void, substantiated by credible media reporting or official statements from Egypt's Ministry of Tourism and Antiquities (https://mota.gov.eg/en/).
- If no such access is confirmed by public record or official announcement by the end of 2026, the market resolves to NO.
- The "Big Void" is a large, previously unknown interior space within the Great Pyramid of Giza, first identified in 2017 by the ScanPyramids project using muon radiography—a technique that detects density variations within large structures.
- The void is located above the Grand Gallery and is estimated to be at least 30 meters long, though its exact purpose, contents, and connectivity to other known chambers remain subjects of intense academic debate and archaeological mystery.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt3%
- September 30+0.1pt0%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 61,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 750,8K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202920%
- Before 2028-1.0pt13%
- Before 20275%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 30,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 30K €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+0.5pt75%
- 2+1.0pt24%
- 3+0.1pt1%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-1.0pt69%
- No31%
- Volume totale
- 311,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,8K €
KALSHIWhen will Compass Pathways submit a NDA for COMP360 psilocybin?
- before 2027+17.0pt95%
- before December+20.0pt90%
- before November+30.0pt86%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Above 0+2.0pt40%
- Above 1+3.0pt18%
- Above 24%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 109,9K €
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- Will humans colonize Mars before 2050?
- Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?
- Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
- How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- How many tuberculosis cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
- What named storms will be hurricanes in the Central Pacific this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 80% al 23 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026??
- Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Great Pyramid of Giza Big Void be explored in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria