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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. Scienza
  3. Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?
Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

Will the world pass 2 degrees Celsius over pre-industrial levels before 2050?

3.0% (24h)One-OffScienzaWeather23a
KalshiKalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione
Probabilità implicita attuale
Sì
Sì 77%-3.0%
Qualita del mercato

44 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

0,1 €

Liquidità

45,6 €

Bassa liquidità
Bid / Ask

77.0% / 82.0%

Spread

6.5%

Spread moderato
Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 minuti fa

5 giu 25, 16:451 gen 50, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

Yes77%

Regole

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.

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When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

When will El Niño conditions be declared present?

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Attivi in questi argomenti

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Regole

If the annual global mean surface temperature anomaly has reached or exceeded +2.0°C above pre-industrial levels (1850-1900 average) in any calendar year before Jan 1, 2050, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • At least two of the Source Agencies must report that we have hit the 2.0°C threshold.