Previsione della comunità attuale
Sì 70.6%
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19
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
15 set 26, 08:04 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWill open models be able to solve Navier Stokes by the end of 2028 for under $1000 in compute?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketDoes a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist?
Manifold MarketsRegole
It must be the same proof as was published originally.
- If it has to be tweaked in substance, that doesn't count.
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt4%
- September 30-0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+3.0pt15%
- Before 2027-0.4pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 271K €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 120K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3K €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.3pt76%
- No24%
- Volume totale
- 303,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2K €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 71% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029??
- Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: It must be the same proof as was published originally.