Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 92.9%
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto8 set 22, 08:10 UTC31 dic 99, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
Mercati aperti
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt4%
- September 30-0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+3.0pt15%
- Before 2027-0.4pt5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 29,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 271K €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Volume totale
- 120K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3K €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.3pt76%
- No24%
- Volume totale
- 303,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,2K €
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Will the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceed 0 in October 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist??
- Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2099.
- Come viene liquidato Does a smooth Navier-Stokes solution always exist??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness