Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?
One-OffIATecnologiaScienza3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 81%
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Aggiornato 12 minuti fa
5 set 26, 03:54 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
The Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem is one of the seven Clay Millennium Prize Problems, and as of 2026, the only Millennium Prize problem to have been solved is the Poincaré conjecture.
- This market asks whether Anthropic will publicly claim that one of its AI systems has resolved it.
- Resolves YES if: before 11:59 PM ET December 31, 2026, Anthropic publicly announces — or a preprint with Anthropic-affiliated authors or Anthropic’s official endorsement presents — a claimed complete resolution of the Clay Mathematics Institute’s Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem, with Claude or another Anthropic AI system credited as the primary source of the proof.
- • Either direction counts.
- A claimed proof of global existence and smoothness, OR a claimed counterexample (finite-time blow-up from smooth, finite-energy initial data), in either the R³ or periodic setting as specified in Clay’s official problem statement.
- Both resolve the Millennium problem and both count.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 81% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026??
- Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness problem is one of the seven Clay Millennium Prize Problems, and as of 2026, the only Millennium Prize problem to have been solved is the Poincaré conjecture.