Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffScienza4mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.1%
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Aggiornato 16 ore fa
Obsoleto7 set 25, 04:45 UTC1 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
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KalshiRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Simplex Progress Report - July 2025 is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will "Simplex Progress Report - July 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.