Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
One-OffSociety & Culture4m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 58%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto8 feb 25, 11:42 UTC1 feb 27, 00:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post So You Want To Make Marginal Progress... is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
Mercati aperti
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- Yes-70.0pt10%
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- Volume 24h
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 58% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will "So You Want To Make Marginal Progress..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.