Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 19 ott 2026, 19:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 87.8%
Previsori
34
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto2 nov 23, 15:37 UTC7 nov 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030
Manifold MarketsWill it be possible for transgender people to leave the US in 2026? (Can renew passports; Not imprisoned)
Manifold MarketsWill any Manifold user be imprisoned in CECOT or a similar prison after deportation from the US during Trump's 2nd term?
Manifold MarketsWho will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for in 2026?
PolymarketIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES when he is in prison following a conviction.
- Resolves NO if and when his current trails end without a prison sentence.
