Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.2%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 26, 02:50 UTC2 gen 30, 03:48 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Sam Altman be charged with a felony crime before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become the CEO of Microsoft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake?
Manifold MarketsSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiSam Altman still CEO of OpenAI through the end of 2026?
FutuurWho will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Altman is incarcerated in a correctional facility due to a criminal conviction by the resolution date. "Incarcerated" is defined as being held in a jail or prison following a sentence or remand.
- If he is not imprisoned, or if charges are dismissed, dropped, or result in a non-custodial sentence (such as probation or fines only), the market resolves to "No."
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, The New York Times) confirming the imprisonment will serve as the source of truth for resolution.
- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI.
- This market tracks public information regarding his legal status.
Mercati aperti
AI
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+5 altri esiti
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- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030?
- Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Sam Altman is imprisoned for a crime before 2030?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria