Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.3%
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto4 mag 26, 02:50 UTC2 gen 30, 03:48 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Netanyahu be imprisoned?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is imprisoned before 2030, will he serve house arrest but NOT prison time?
Manifold MarketsWill Sam Altman become the CEO of Microsoft by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Manifold repeat this Sam Altman CEO market mistake?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Sam Altman say during NYT DealBook Summit?
KalshiSam Altman replaced as OpenAI CEO this year?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if Sam Altman is incarcerated in a correctional facility due to a criminal conviction by the resolution date. "Incarcerated" is defined as being held in a jail or prison following a sentence or remand.
- If he is not imprisoned, or if charges are dismissed, dropped, or result in a non-custodial sentence (such as probation or fines only), the market resolves to "No."
- Reliable reporting from major news outlets (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Bloomberg, The New York Times) confirming the imprisonment will serve as the source of truth for resolution.
- Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI.
- This market tracks public information regarding his legal status.
